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Major Issues Facing the Nation. Meeting Strategic Challenges. But recent fiscal expansions are not the major reason for US fiscal imbalance.

These measures are mainly one offs, so GDP growth will gradually make them insignificant relative to the overall economy. Social Security as a percentage of GDP will increase from 5.

Federal revenue, however, is projected to grow at just 0. This expenditure growth stems, for both programs, from significant demographic shifts in the U. Recent Census data shows that, for the first time, the number of Americans over age 80 is greater than the number under age 5. Medicare will also grow because healthcare costs in the United States, already substantially higher than comparable countries , have outpaced GDP growth since the s.

Even the most aggressive proposals to raise taxes cannot close the gap, both because tax increases lower the deficit level but not its growth rate, and because substantially higher taxes would likely lower GDP growth, exacerbating the problem. Nor, importantly, can reduction or elimination of most discretionary spending — including military spending — solve the problem, again because these are level rather than growth rate effects.

And growing primary deficits are problematic even if interest rates remain low forever. The health and economic effects of the pandemic have significant implications for Medicaid enrollment and financing. A companion data collection examines current fiscal and state revenue data to help understand how various economic factors that affect Medicaid are changing. This brief examines the following key questions about Medicaid financing:. Under current law, Medicaid provides a guarantee to individuals eligible for services and to states for federal matching payments with no pre-set limit.

Medicaid provides an entitlement to eligible individuals. The federal government matches state spending for eligible beneficiaries and qualifying services without a limit.

The formula is designed so that the federal government pays a larger share of program costs in poorer states. States may receive higher FMAPs for certain services or populations. In , the federal government paid 64 percent of total Medicaid costs with the states paying 36 percent. As discussed in more detail later, to provide fiscal relief to states and support Medicaid in response to the coronavirus pandemic, federal legislation authorized a temporary increase of 6. Figure 1: States with lower per capita incomes have a higher federal matching rate for Medicaid.

To participate in Medicaid and receive federal matching dollars, states must meet core federal requirements. States must provide certain mandatory benefits e. States also have discretion to determine how to purchase covered services e. Based on program flexibility, spending per Medicaid enrollee varies significantly across states.

There are special match rates for the ACA expansion group, administration, and other services. While the standard FMAP applies to the vast majority of Medicaid spending, there are a few exceptions that provide higher match rates for specific populations and services including family planning, some new options to expand community long-term care services, and most notably people covered under the Affordable Care Act ACA.

The ACA provided percent federal financing for those made newly eligible by the law from to with that match phasing down to 90 percent by The ACA originally required all states to implement the expansion of Medicaid to all people with incomes up to percent of the poverty level, but a decision by the Supreme Court effectively made it optional. In general, costs incurred by states in administering the Medicaid program are matched by the federal government at a 50 percent rate.

There are, however, some types of administrative functions that are matched at higher rates such as eligibility and enrollment systems. Medicaid administrative costs in general represent a relatively small portion of total Medicaid spending 5 percent or less.

While states have considerable discretion in determining the amount of DSH payments to each DSH hospital, federal DSH funds are capped for the state and also capped at the facility level. Based on the assumption of increased coverage and therefore reduced uncompensated care costs under the ACA, the law called for a reduction in federal DSH allotments starting in FFY The cuts have been delayed several times and are currently set to take effect in FFY Unlike in the 50 states and D.

Notwithstanding temporary relief funds, once a territory exhausts its capped federal funds, it no longer receives federal financial support for its Medicaid program during that fiscal year. This places additional pressure on territory resources if Medicaid spending continues beyond the federal cap — making the effective match rate lower than what is set in statute.

Over time, Congress has provided increases in federal funds for the territories broadly and in response to specific emergency events. In addition to increased federal funding, the traditional territory FMAP of 55 percent was increased to 82 percent for Puerto Rico and 89 percent for the other territories through FY Unless Congress acts, there will be a major financing cliff in at the end of FY for the territories.

Capitated payments to Medicaid managed care organizations MCOs and for other Medicaid managed care e. Managed care and health plans 3 accounted for the largest share of Medicaid spending 49 percent with the majority of that share 46 percent representing payments to comprehensive MCOs , 23 percent of Medicaid spending is for fee-for-service acute care, 21 percent for fee-for-service long-term care, 3 percent for DSH, and 3 percent for Medicaid spending for Medicare premiums and cost-sharing on behalf of dual eligible beneficiaries Figure 2.

Figure 2: Payments to comprehensive MCOs account for almost half of total national Medicaid spending. More than half of all Medicaid spending for services is attributable to the elderly and persons with disabilities, who make up one in five Medicaid enrollees Figure 3. Dual eligible beneficiaries — who are enrolled in both Medicare and Medicaid — account for almost 34 percent of all spending. Although only approximately 5.



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